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June 17, 2025
- Daily Morning Report Date: 17.06.2025
- NIFTY OUTLOOK: 24946.50 FII: -2539.42 cr DII: 5780.96 cr
- As discussed yesterday, market behaviour remained on expected lines, as buying support took Nifty to 24967 after successfully crossing 24786.
- A long bullish candle on the daily chart suggests sustained buying and positive sentiment. If the index breaks above 25013, it may rally towards 25079 to 25147. On strong demand, it may even test 25214.
- On the downside, 24879 to 24813 may act as immediate support. A break below this zone could drag Nifty towards 24746 to 24677.
- Bank Nifty OUTLOOK
- SPOT: 55944.40 PCR: 0.74 Max CE OI: 56000 Max PE OI: 56000
- On 16th June 2025, Bank Nifty closed at 55944.40, up 0.99% from the previous day. The index moved 618.40 points during the session, with a high of 55999.85 and a low of 55381.45.
- Technical View (Daily Chart):
- Key support and resistance levels are at 55010 and 56050 respectively.
- Trading Strategy:
- Go Long above 56100 with SL 55900 and target 56500
- Go Short below 55600 with SL 55800 and target 55300
- RSI: 55.30 (Below 30 = oversold, Above 70 = overbought)
- Bank Nifty Day SMA Analysis:
- Bank Nifty is trading above 6 out of 8 SMAs (20, 30, 50, 100, 150, 200-day).
- It is trading below 2 out of 8 SMAs (5, 10-day).
- A bullish candlestick pattern has been identified in Bank Nifty.
- • Closing Marubozu Uptrend
- Macros.
- 1.Dollar index @ 97.785
- 2.Vix @ 19.11
- 3.Brent @ 73.58
- 4.10 Years US bond yield @ 4.423
- Note:
- U.S. stock index futures fell Monday evening after President Donald Trump issued a stern warning to Iran amid escalating conflict with Israel, keeping geopolitical sentiment fragile. This marks one of the worst flare-ups between the two nations in over 30 years.
- Adding to the pressure, the U.S. Senate budget bill proposes cuts to solar and wind incentives, while extending tax credits for hydropower, nuclear, and geothermal until 2036. Solar credits will phase out by 2028, which is negative for green energy companies. Solar stocks declined.
- Focus now shifts to key U.S. economic data, including retail sales and industrial production due Tuesday.
- Conclusion:
- Markets are currently ignoring the Middle East conflict, now in its fourth day and intensifying. Caution is advised—avoid aggressive buying.
- Contributed by
- Ashok bhandari : INH000019549
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- Bikewo partners with Flipkart's Instakart for pan-India last-mile delivery using 1300+ green vehicles.
- @beatthestreet10
- BIG BREAKING NEWS: Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has been relocated from Safe location to EXTREMELY Safe Location.
- MOSSAD has reportedly discovered his hiding place.
- Ali Khamenei is very scared. Iran common people are also angry with him.
- Israel can launch operation at any moment in order to defend itself.
- IRAN'S REVOLUTIONARY GUARDS SPOKESMAN SAYS IRAN'S STRIKES AGAINST ISRAEL WILL CONTINUE UNTIL MORNING
- @beatthestreet10
- IRANIAN AIR DEFENCES THWART ATTACK ON IRANIAN SOUTH PARS GAS FIELD - IRANIAN FARARU NEWS WEBSITE REPORTS
- @beatthestreet10
- Zydus Wellness : Large Trade
- 46.27 lk shares (7.3% eq) worth ₹879 cr change hands at ₹1,900/sh in block deal window
- @beatthestreet10
- GOVT SOURCES Says India-US trade cannot be doubled without reducing tariffs
- Working on an early trade tranche
- Aim to conclude the early tranche before July 9
- India and the US are discussing tariff cuts and improved market access
- India seeking better market access for labor-intensive products
- Government monitoring the impact of 50% steel & aluminum and 25% auto tariffs
- Auto components sector not seeing significant impact yet
- Impact may emerge if certain countries receive exemptions
- US trade negotiators visited India from June 4-10
- Discussions included market access, tariff and non-tariff barriers
- Topics also covered: digital trade, technical barriers, legal framework, and customs facilitation - EST NOW
- @beatthestreet10
- DBS Bank CEO Says Supply pressures cannot cause permanent pressure on global commodities - ET NOW
- Supply issues can lead to short- to medium-term pressures
- It is unlikely that the Fed will turn hawkish
- The early impact of tariffs is muted
- Uncertainty will keep the Fed in a wait-and-watch mode
- If conditions improve, the Fed might cut rates twice this year
- The "Long India" narrative remains intact
- With expected rate cuts in India, growth is likely to accelerate further
- India continues to be favorably viewed by global investors
- Indian valuations appear expensive compared to other markets
- The U.S. lacks the bandwidth to sign detailed tariff agreements with every country
- @beatthestreet10
- STANDARD GLASS ; Standard Glass Lining Expands Capacity with New S2 Unit-5 Facility - Investor Presentation
- New Unit Commissioned: 1,00,000 sq ft S2 Unit-5 inaugurated to boost metal division output.
- Capacity Addition: Focus on increasing production of dryers, filters, reactors, and receivers.
- Strategic Alliance: Shell & Tube Glass Lined Heat Exchanger tech developed with AGI & GL HAKKO.
- Market Opportunity: Estimated ₹2,000 crore opportunity in India for new heat exchanger segment.
- Advanced Tech Edge: Use of robotic welding and high-precision machining for superior quality.
- Net Impact: Positive – Strong manufacturing growth, technology leadership, and high market potential.
- @beatthestreet10
- ETERNAL , SWIGGY ; Zepto Set to Raise Major Funds, Plans 150 New Dark Stores Next Quarter : ET
- Large Funding Round: Zepto is closing a significant capital raise, boosting its war chest.
- Aggressive Expansion: Plans to open 150 new dark stores, increasing market penetration.
- Rising Competition: Intensifies pressure on Swiggy, Eternal, and other quick-commerce players.
- Faster Deliveries Expected: Larger store network may enhance customer experience and delivery speed.
- Net Impact: Negative for rivals – Increased competitive threat in quick-commerce segment.
- @beatthestreet10
- YES BANK; YES Bank Receives ₹78 Cr from Security Receipts Portfolio Trust
- Significant Recovery: ₹78 crore received from a single trust, exceeding the underlying carrying value.
- Material Disclosure: Triggered SEBI's materiality threshold, indicating notable financial relevance.
- Boost to Asset Recovery: Enhances YES Bank’s balance sheet and recovery performance.
- Transparency Maintained: Disclosure aligned with SEBI Listing Regulations; info shared on official exchange portals.
- Net Impact: Positive – Strengthens recovery profile and signals improved asset performance.
- @beatthestreet10
- ONGC : Gas leak continues for 5th day in Assam oil well
- Co says has deployed a crisis management team
- @beatthestreet10
- NTPC : Board to meet on June 21 to mull fundraising
- @beatthestreet10
- AXICADES : Indra Signs Strategic Pact with AXISCADES to Manufacture Advanced Defense Systems in India
- MoU Signed at Paris Air Show: Indra and AXISCADES to jointly manufacture aerospace & defense systems in India.
- Key Technologies: Production includes TACAN antennas, DME units, and countermeasure systems to protect aircraft from missile threats.
- Global & Domestic Focus: Joint product development aimed at Indian and international markets.
- Make-in-India Boost: Enhances India's defense manufacturing capabilities and aligns with self-reliance goals.
- DRDO Collaborations: Exploring partnerships on DRDO’s MRMR & MMMA aircraft programs.
- Net Impact: Positive – Strengthens AXISCADES’ global positioning, deepens defense ecosystem collaboration, and supports India’s strategic sector growth.
- @beatthestreet10
- Affle ; Co. Retains Bobble Investment as 'Held for Sale'; Receives New Share Offer
- Investment Status Unchanged: Affle’s stake in Bobble remains classified as “Held for Sale” under Ind AS 105.
- New Share Offer: Received pre-emption offer from Bobble to subscribe to 337 Series D2 CCPS (Compulsorily Convertible Preference Shares).
- No Decision Yet: Affle’s Investment Committee has not yet decided on accepting the offer.
- Pending Inspection Rights: Final decision hinges on clarity regarding inspection rights requested by Affle.
- Net Impact: Mixed – Uncertainty persists around the exit or further investment in Bobble; clarity awaited for next course of action.
- @beatthestreet10
- DBS BANK: CEO says supply issues won’t cause lasting global commodity pressure.
- Fed likely to stay cautious amid uncertainty, with muted tariff impact.
- Two U.S. rate cuts possible if conditions improve.
- "Long India" story strong; growth may rise with Indian rate cuts.
- Valuations high, but investor sentiment remains positive.
- @beatthestreet10
- YES BANK: Receives ₹78 Cr from Security Receipts Portfolio Trust, exceeding carrying value.
- Triggers SEBI’s materiality norms, boosting asset recovery and balance sheet.
- Disclosure made per listing regulations.
- Positive impact reflects stronger recovery performance.
- @beatthestreet10
- Zydus Wellness : Large Trade
- 46.27 lk shares (7.3% eq) worth ₹879 cr change hands at ₹1,900/sh in block deal window
- @beatthestreet10
- PSU BANKS: Govt to fast-track stake sale in public sector banks.
- Merchant banker appointments near final stage.
- Up to 20% stake to be sold in 5 banks via QIP, OFS in 6 months.
- Includes UCO BANK, BANK OF MAHARASHTRA, CENTRAL BANK, PUNJAB & SIND BANK.
- Proceeds to fund banks’ own needs.
- @beatthestreet10
- News Headlines from Business News Agencies:
- Business Standard
- Russian oil freight rates to India ease, EU curbs may reverse trend
- India's CV industry quietly begins shift to hydrogen-powered vehicles
- WPI inflation falls to 14-month low in May as food, fuel prices dip
- Nazara launches Pokerverse VR, enters immersive gaming with poker
- VinFast scales back India sales target, delays production and bookings
- Rajasthan govt plans 2,000 mini buses in Jaipur for transit boost
- PSBs see surge in staff productivity as business per employee rises
- Omaxe to invest ₹1,000 crore in integrated township near Golden Temple
- NTPC working on 20 GW PSPs; aims to commission 5 GW by FY32: Official
- Godrej to build homes on 14-acre Bengaluru plot, eyes ₹1,500 cr revenue
- Early monsoon dampens fuel demand growth in June; diesel dips 4.8%
- Economic Times
- Debt recovery in stressed realty projects to rise 1,600 bps this fiscal: Crisil Ratings
- Zydus Healthcare appoints Swati Dalal as MD
- Hyundai starts engine production at Talegaon facility ahead of full operations
- RedBus appoints Livspace's Saurabh Agarwal as finance chief
- NSE IX signs MoU with Cyprus stock exchange to boost cross-border market ties
- Ultraviolette enters Europe, eyes 35 pc of revenue from global exports by 2028
- UltraTech Cement must divest 7% stake in India Cements to meet SEBI norms
- Oberoi Group launches 'Elements' Plan to go greener by 2030
- Warner Bros. Pictures, Bhanushali Studios Limited and JOAT Films announce a five-film strategic partnership
- Mercedes-Benz hints at further price hike in September
- Passenger vehicle sales stay flat in May; Utility vehicles drive growth: SIAM
- Mint
- India well-positioned amid global trade gloom, tariff wars: SBI Capital Markets
- India’s goods trade deficit narrows to $21.88 billion in May from year ago
- India hopeful of positive outcome from talks over China’s rare earth import issue, says official
- Trai moves to rein in spam calls with new digital consent rule
- Apple on EU radar again: Tech giant risks fresh charges over App Store curbs
- India cenbank seeks market views on aligning call money rate with repo, sources say
- Skoda mulling CNG powertrain, new variants for Kylaq SUV
- Waterways Leisure Tourism IPO: Cordelia Cruises operator files DRHP with SEBI
- JLR holds back revenue guidance, projects hit to profitability in FY26
- Airbus eyes to expand A220 jet capacity amid dwindling demand
- Meta appoints Arun Srinivas as Managing Director for India effective July 1
- GS on BSE
- Maintain Neutral; Hike target price to Rs 2,490 from Rs 2,110
- STK down 10% over last 4 sessions driven by declining index options premium
- Furthermore, index options market share - a source of +ve surprise - has been stagnating over last couple of months at 23-24%, after rising from close to zero over last 2yrs
- Volatility and its relationship with options trading is difficult to predict
- Upcoming SEBI decision on expiry day of derivatives contract could be a key binary event with ltd upside & notable downside
- BSE's reliance on this income stream at 60% is quite elevated
- A move to Thursday could see it lose 3pp of share, leading to 13% index options ADP loss, hence posing 8% EPS downside risk
- Kotak Inst Eqt on ZEE Ent
- Reduce, TP Rs 127
- Zee’s board has approved issuance of fully convertible warrants to the promoter group at Rs132/warrant, aggregating to Rs22.4 bn.
- On conversion, promoters’ stake will increase to 18.39% from 3.99%
- According to Zee, raise serves dual purpose of
- 1) fortifying core biz & potentially funding value-accretive growth opportunities
- 2) enhancing promoter stake & accountability
- Raise target multiple to 13X (from 12X earlier)
- Jefferies on Navin Fluorine
- Rating: Buy; target price Rs5,280
- Well positioned to monetize ~20bn of capex commissioned in past 3 years by entering into long-term contracts
- This should improve asset turns and drive 35% EPS CAGR over FY25-27E
- Pipeline of new contracts in specialty chemicals, CDMO and high-performance products (HPP) should fructify in FY26 and provide growth visibility FY28 onwards
- Constructive on R32 refrigerant gas despite new capacities; company expects R32 prices to hold up in the near term
- Despite its recent run-up, stock has underperformed Nifty by 23% since Jan 2023
- Citi On Max Life
- Initiate Buy with target price of Rs 1,840
- On Track to Deliver Sustainable 17-18% Operating ROEV
- Positioned well to gain market share
- Diversified product and channel strategy
- Operating RoEV to remain strong
- MS on Tata Motors
- Maintain Equal-weight with target price of Rs 715
- Unlike past downcycles, this time JLR is much stronger on all fronts
- But earnings turnaround will be gradual and FY26 could see earnings downgrades
- MS FY26 EPS estimate is 8% below consensus
- FCF is key for low-growth companies
- GS on KPIT Technologies
- Maintain Neutral with target price of Rs 1,280
- Macro pointing to H2 pickup in Auto ER&D
- Caresoft expected to become EPS accretive in H2FY26/FY27E
- Hybrid vs EV debate not presently cannibalizing KPIT opportunity set
- Stable margin expectations in near term
- Nomura on CITY Gas Co
- MGL– Buy, TP Rs 1680
- IGL– Neutral, TP Rs 210
- Guj Gas– Reduce, TP Rs 406
- Falling APM gas allocation a near-term challenge, manageable through price hikes
- EV policies by states to continue pressuring CNG growth
- Inclusion of gas under GST could benefit GGL most
- CLSA on India Consumer
- KFC's and Burger King's strong growth trajectory continues
- Believes competitive intensity remains high
- Maintain underperform on Jubilant FoodWorks and Westlife
- Maintains outperform on Devyani International and Restaurants Brands Asia
- Antique on HZL
- Hold, target price raised to F489 vs F432
- Silver at record levels to support profits
- Renewable low-cost power to aid in long-term cost reduction
- Operational cash flows to fund capex plans and support dividend payout
- Zinc inventory levels at LME warehouses have been declining over the past three months and spot inventory is ~22% below the 5MCY25 average
- India's infra investments and growing domestic steel production along with increased uptake of galvanized steel expected to drive ~8% YoY growth in domestic zinc demand in CY25
- Silver production capacity targeted at 1,000 tons and MCX silver prices have risen to an all-time high in Jun'25, ~11% above the 5MCY25 average
- Revised assumptions for silver price by +5.3%/+10.5% and lead volume by +6.4%/+10.6%, leading to an increase in FY26/27 EBITDA by 2.5%/ 4.7%